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2014年12月24日 星期三

2014/12/24 「這個喜劇 讓索尼、北韓、美國都笑不出來」

這個喜劇 讓索尼、北韓、美國都笑不出來

摘錄自:天下雜誌每日報電子報                        2014/12/23
2014-12-22 Web only  作者:日經中文

天下雜誌每日報電子報 - 20141224 - 1
圖片來源:電影海報劇照
 導讀:Sony新片《刺殺金正恩》,還沒上映,就爆發駭客入侵Sony內部,釣出高層Email醜聞。而最新消息是,美國五大連鎖影院也已決定不放映該片,甚至還牽動到美國和北韓外交關係。這一齣諷刺喜劇,結局將怎麼寫?

關於作者  日經中文

日經中文網是日本最大財經媒體《日本經濟新聞》的中文網站。日經中文網洞悉東亞經濟動態,聚集政治、文化、國際關係熱點。

在針對索尼影視娛樂有限公司(SPE)的以刺殺朝鮮第1書記金正恩為題材的《刺殺金正恩》(The Interview)受到網路攻擊一事,美國政府加強對朝鮮的壓力。美國總統歐巴馬承諾採取對抗措施,重新將朝鮮指定為支持恐怖主義國家的方案也浮出水面。如果出現這種情況,自2008年美國將朝鮮從「支持恐怖主義國家」名單中刪除以來,美國的朝鮮政策有可能迎來轉捩點。


天下雜誌每日報電子報 - 20141224 - 2
歐巴馬總統在12月19日的記者會上向朝鮮發出了強烈警告,但施加壓力的方法有限。如果通過網路攻擊對朝鮮發起反擊,有可能使其系統暫時癱瘓,或盜取信息,但無法造成重大打擊。

而迅速浮出水面的是,重新將朝鮮指定為支持恐怖主義國家的方案。12月19日《華爾街日報》(電子版)報導稱,「美國政府正在討論,將朝鮮重新制定為支持恐怖主義國家的選項。」美國參議院外交委員會委員長羅伯特•梅南德斯(民主黨)向美國國務卿克里發出書信稱,朝鮮的網路攻擊「等同於恐怖行為」,要求將朝鮮重新指定為支持恐怖主義國家。

如果將朝鮮重新指定為支持恐怖主義國家,基於經濟制裁的打壓也將提上議事日程。美國政府在朝鮮被納入支持恐怖主義國家名單的2005年,實施了凍結澳門銀行的朝鮮相關帳戶的金融制裁。由於難以籌集美元資金,朝鮮被迫作出了停止核設施活動等讓步。

由於面對朝鮮的核武器與導彈開發以及綁架日本人問題,日本也一直要求美國將朝鮮重新指定為支持恐怖主義國家。朝鮮在2009年、2013年實施核試驗之際,也未被重新指定為支持恐怖主義國家,如果此次得以實現,將成為美國對朝鮮政策的重大轉折。



2014年1月20日 星期一

2014/1/20 「莫名的籃球外交 讓人霧裡看花」

莫名的籃球外交 讓人霧裡看花

摘錄自:天下雜誌 經濟學人電子報                        2013/1/17
2014-01-13 Web only 作者:經濟學人
 
天下雜誌 經濟學人電子報 - 20140120
圖片來源:flickr.com/photos/ye-wa/
1月8日聚集在平壤室內運育場的群眾,不太像是來看籃球賽的觀眾。交手雙方分別為北韓隊,以及前美國NBA球星和街頭籃球手組成的隊伍;14,000人穿西裝打領帶,填滿了體育場的座位,掌聲亦經過精心安排。但在金正恩進入體育館之後,氣氛亦大為改變;前職業球員羅德曼(Dennis Rodman)表示,那真的非常驚人,讓人體會到金正恩在這個國家究竟擁有多大的權力。

這場賽事主要由羅德曼(Dennis Rodman)促成,這是他第4次來到北韓。羅德曼是與金正恩會面的美國人中最知名的一個,或許也讓他在不知不覺中成了重要的外交人員。羅德曼稱此為「籃球外交」,認為這是個與北韓進行文化交流的機會,並表示此行沒有政治動機。

不過,這次造訪北韓還是在引來了批評。美國國會議員恩格爾(Eliot Engel)認為這場表演賽就像是邀請希特勒共進午餐,NBA總裁史騰(David Stern)亦表示,運動賽事雖然可以協助建立橋樑,但這場比賽並非如此。

這一切都嚇不退羅德曼。他在公開演說的最後,為金正恩演唱生日快樂歌作結;據信金正恩目前應該30出頭,但關於金正恩的一切都不是那麼明朗。球賽下半場,羅德曼坐到了金正恩身旁,據羅德曼表示,他們聊的主要是籃球,亦計畫在夏季舉辦更大型的表演賽。接著,金正恩便邀請羅德賽等人一同滑雪。

不過,這似乎不太可能協助重建北韓與美國的官方關係。韓戰結束後,兩國的關係一直不好,神秘又難以預期的北韓政治令人不安,美國人亦無法接受其核武計畫。1月7日,美國宣佈,除了已駐守於南韓的2.8萬名士兵外,將增派800名士兵和40輛戰車,以維持朝鮮半島的安全。

而在平壤,無法親臨球賽的人可以在報紙上讀到這場比賽的報導,也可以在電視上觀賞比賽。一位不願透露真名的北韓民眾認為,羅德曼現身應該對美國與北韓的關係有些幫助;她個人認為羅德曼臉上的穿環有些瘋狂,但她亦指出,金正恩似乎對羅德曼不尋常地友好。羅德曼已經成為美國最令人意外的外交人員了。(黃維德譯)

©The Economist Newspaper Limited 2014



The Economist

Americans in North Korea
Strangest of bedfellows

By The Economist
From The Economist
Published: January 13, 2014

Jan 9th 2014, 10:54 by The Economist | PYONGYANG

THE crowd gathered at the Pyongyang Indoor Stadium on January 8th made unlikely spectators for a basketball game. Dressed in suits and ties, the 14,000 people filling the stands in North Korea's capital held neither hotdogs nor giant foam fingers. Applause for the two squads, a motley crew of former American National Basketball Association (NBA) stars and street-ball players, and then the North Korean team, was tightly orchestrated. But when the country's young leader, Kim Jong Un, entered the stadium, the atmosphere changed. "It's just really shocking, an overwhelming experience to see how much power that guy has in this country," said Dennis Rodman, the provocative former professional American player who was chiefly responsible for the spectacle. "All [Mr Kim] has to do is get up and they go nuts."

This is Mr Rodman's fourth trip to North Korea, an ostentatious tour with an athletic entourage which is estimated to cost his hosts about $1m. He is the highest-profile American to have met the youthful Mr Kim, and this has cast Mr Rodman into a position of perhaps unwitting ambassadorial significance. He labels his own visits as "basketball diplomacy", an opportunity for cultural exchange with the secretive state. He claims to have no political motive.

But his visits have drawn criticism from near and far by people who worry about North Korea's appalling human-rights record and its pursuit of a nuclear arsenal. In a last-minute appeal in which he asked Mr Rodman to abandon the charade, Eliot Engel, an American congressman, likened playing the exhibition game to inviting Hitler to lunch. "What you seem to be implying is that business as usual is OK. That it's OK to enslave people. That it is OK to torture people," Mr Engel told Mr Rodman through an interview with the New York Times. David Stern of the NBA distanced his organisation from the excursion, saying that although sporting events can be helpful in bridging divides, this one is not. Mr Rodman has also been rebuked for failing to use his influence to assist Kenneth Bae, an American missionary who has been detained in North Korea for "anti-state" crimes. (He compounded the sense of insult with an apparently drunken rant against Mr Bae, during a live interview with CNN from Pyongyang. The next day Mr Rod man explained that indeed he had been feeling tired and emotional, and apologised.)

None of this deterred Mr Rodman during the match. Ever flamboyant, the tattooed 52-year-old alumnus of the Chicago Bulls rounded off a curious public address by singing "Happy Birthday" to the "marshal", using Mr Kim's local honorific. It is believed that Mr Kim is in his early 30s, but like so much else about the dictator, who inherited power when his father, Kim Jong Il, died in 2011, the details are murky. "Yes he is a great leader, he provides for his people here in this country and thank God the people here love the marshal," Mr Rodman somewhat incoherently told the crowd, which included Mr Kim, his wife Ri Sol Ju, a rare appearance for his brother, Kim Jong Chol, and plenty of senior officials. As a birthday present, Mr Rodman presented Mr Kim with five bottles of Bad Ass Vodka, his own brand, with their images etched into the glass.

Joining Mr Rodman on court were six former NBA players, most of them past their playing prime and well into their 40s. They might include a few names familiar to American basketball enthusiasts of the 1990s (Sleepy Floyd stands out), but today they are invested in more diverse pursuits. Vin Baker's professional career came to an end over a battle with alcoholism; he is now a pastor at a church in New York. Doug Christie has lately been overshadowed by his wife's participation in a reality-television show, "Basketball Wives L.A.". Last year an ex-All Star, Kenny Anderson, lost his job coaching high school basketball after he was arrested on suspicion of driving drunk. Other members of the squad included Cliff Robinson, Craig Hodges, Charles D. Smith as well as four never-pro players.

In the first half of the friendly game, which Rodman dedicated to his "best friend" (the birthday boy, of course), the Americans scored just 39 points, losing to the North Koreans' 47. (One spectator judged that the Americans had rather "phoned it in".) In the second half the teams were mixed and Mr Rodman sat beside Mr Kim. Their discussion was chiefly about basketball, according to Mr Rodman, including plans for a more ambitious game in the summer: for an audience of 120,000. Mr Kim then invited Mr Rodman and a small delegation to go skiing at the recently constructed resort in the remote east of the country, Masik Pass, which is said to have opened on January 1st.

All of this is very cosy, at least for the strange-looking men involved. But it seems unlikely to be helpful in re-establishing official relations between North Korea and America, despite Mr Rodman's hopes. There is a long way to go. The two countries have been estranged since the Korean War ended, more than 60 years ago. The secretive and unpredictable nature of North Korea's politics is unnerving, and its nuclear-weapons programme unacceptable to the Americans. The dramatic purge of Jang Song Thaek, Mr Kim's uncle, who was abruptly executed in December, has done nothing to soothe worries abroad, as it revealed deep schisms within the upper echelons of the North Korean state. On January 7th America announced that it would send another 800 soldiers and 40 tanks to South Korea, in addition to the 28,000 troops it already has stationed there, as part of the country's commitment to security on the peninsula.

In Pyongyang those who were unable to attend the game could read about it on the front page of the Rodong Sinmun, a state-run newspaper, or watch it on television. Pak Ji Yoon, a North Korean national who would not give her real name, guesses that while little is known about Mr Rodman, his presence is "not bad" for the relations of the two countries involved. Ms Pak personally finds Mr Rodman's facial piercings off-putting and "kind of crazy", but she notes that Kim Jong Un seems unusually friendly towards him. She would not be the first to say it: Mr Rodman has become America's least likely diplomat.

©The Economist Newspaper Limited 2014